There are reasons to believe that Donald Trump will be reelected in 2020, and serve another four-year term in office; and that his presidency will end in January of 2025. If so, America will be changed forever.
Pat Buchanan—an adviser to Presidents Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and Gerald Ford, and a former GOP presidential aspirant himself—has written an article entitled “Are Democrats Ceding the Center to Trump?”:
Since the Democratic debates in June, the tide seems to have receded for the party and its presidential hopefuls.
In new polls, only Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump comfortably.
The other top-tier candidates — Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg — are running even with Trump, a measurable drop. A Washington Post-ABC poll just found Trump at 47% approval, a new high for his presidency.
Apparently, the more the nation sees of the alternatives to Trump the Democrats have on offer, the better The Donald looks. For Democrats, this is not good, not good at all.
For while Trump has run a daily gauntlet of dreadful media for two years, these Democrats have had only one debate and a few weeks of close coverage.
Between now and the New Hampshire primary, they will be going after one another and receiving a far more thorough vetting by a media in constant search of failings and flaws, especially of front-runners.
Traditionally, all candidates suffer attrition as the primaries come closer. For it is then that their lagging rivals become more desperate in their attacks and the media coverage becomes more intense.
Other problems have now arisen for the Democrats because of the issues that have come to the fore: race, radicalism and the border.
None looks like a winning Democratic issue in November 2020.
The race issue surfaced in the debate when Biden was called out by Harris for his professed friendships with segregationist senators like Herman Talmadge and James O. Eastland, and for Joe’s impassioned public resistance to the court-ordered bussing of black and white children for racial balance in the public schools of the 1970s.
Harris defended bussing as a necessary remedy to segregation and added that, as a “little girl,” she had been a beneficiary.
If your friends like Eastland had their way, said Harris, I would not be here in the Senate. For days, the issue dogged Biden, who, last weekend, apologized for any “hurt” he caused.
Biden seems to have recovered most of the ground lost from Harris’ attack. But that this racially charged issue threw him on the defensive for weeks assures it will be raised again by opponents to trip up the front-runner.
Another issue certain to come up in future debates, and in the South Carolina primary where 61% of the Democratic vote is African American, is reparations for slavery.
Several candidates have already endorsed a commission to study reparations, and Biden and every other candidate will have to take a stand.
Yet, recent polls show that Americans, by 2-1, are opposed to paying reparations for a system of slavery that was abolished 150 years ago.
Bottom line: If the 2020 campaign becomes a conversation about reparations for slavery and the bussing of white kids from the suburbs into inner-city schools to achieve greater integration, the Democrats will be in a world of hurt.
On border security, indispensable to Trump in 2016, Democrats in the debates came out for ending criminal detention of people invading our country and for providing free health care for migrants who successfully break into the USA.
Detesting ICE as they do, and supporting sanctuary cities, left-wing Democrats routinely describe the Border Patrol as neo-fascists who run “concentration camps” where migrant children are forced to drink toilet water. The Democrats are becoming an open borders party.
What is their solution to the hundreds of thousands of migrants who annually arrive at our borders? Foreign aid. They want to create a Marshall Plan for Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador so refugees will stay home rather than come to the USA for the health care Democrats will provide at taxpayer expense.
Among other ideas advocated by leading Democratic candidates:
Free college for all, cancellation of all student loan debt, Medicare for All, an end to private health insurance and the companies that provide it, the abolition of the Electoral College, expansion of the Supreme Court to 15 justices, the abolition of ICE, a phase-out all fossil fuels for a carbon neutral country, and repeal of all Trump tax cuts.
What is causing the moderate Democrats to adopt what they used to regard as radical positions? The party base, which votes in primaries and is further left than it has ever been.
Also pulling the party leftward is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her sisters in Congress who receive extensive and indulgent media coverage and have a powerful following among millennials.
What the Democratic Party is risking today — and what many of its leaders recognize — is that it will be pulled so far outside the mainstream of American politics in the nomination battle, that its nominee will not be able to make it back close enough to the center to win.
If the Democratic Party, as its alternative to Trump, decides to run on this radical new agenda, America will punish that hubris with a second term for Trump.[2]
It is likely that the Biden candidacy will collapse for a myriad of reasons, not the least of which he is prone to gaffes and mistakes that are seemingly unforgivable. He may be shown to be an utter buffoon, sooner rather than later; and the fact that his son Hunter has been embroiled in scandals, linked to his father, may only compound his problems.[3]
Bernie Sanders is authentic, albeit a true socialist not unlike Karl Marx; and his only viable chance of getting the Democratic Party’s nomination may have died in 2016, at the hands of Hillary Clinton and her thugs. Did Sanders deserve to be the party’s nominee? Probably so, but he was robbed of it then, as history will attest.
Kamala Harris’ political career began as former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown’s ho. And having been nurtured while “working” on her back, this may forever define her credentials as a candidate for higher offices. The fact that California’s Leftist voters let her “skate” speaks volumes about what has happened in this once-great and proud State.[4]
Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren, who lied repeatedly about her native-American heritage, is going nowhere fast.[5] Like the remainder of the pygmies and societal misfits who are running for their party’s nomination, they are likely to join the growing ranks of ignominity.[6] And yes, lots of us began as Democrats, but will never vote for one again.
Pat Buchanan is correct that race, radicalism and “the border” are likely to be in the minds of Americans as they approach and vote in next year’s elections. Crime, abortions and a plethora of other issues will affect their decisions too, but Buchanan may be correct when he concluded:
What the Democratic Party is risking today — and what many of its leaders recognize — is that it will be pulled so far outside the mainstream of American politics in the nomination battle, that its nominee will not be able to make it back close enough to the center to win.
If the Democratic Party, as its alternative to Trump, decides to run on this radical new agenda, America will punish that hubris with a second term for Trump.[7]
The Left’s efforts to radicalize America must be stopped in their tracks. Our borders must be closed tight, except to those who come here legally[8]. Sanctuary cities and other lawlessness must be eradicated.
Those who are in our great country illegally must be rooted out and deported summarily. Violent groups like Antifa must be designated as terrorist groups, and dealt with harshly. Eco-Nazis must be repudiated; and the hoax of man-made “global warming” must be exposed for what it is.[9]
Abortions must be treated as Infanticide, with criminal consequences ensuing for all involved. Our Electoral College must be respected and adhered to, not cheapened or discarded. All student loan debt must be paid back, not forgiven.
Radical judges who seek to legislate from the bench must be removed, and replaced with those who will follow the law, not discard it. Those who sought to destroy the candidacy or the presidency of Donald Trump must be prosecuted and imprisoned for treason, at the very least.
And the list goes on and on.
. . .
Lastly, will Bill Clinton’s flights on Jeffrey Epstein’s “Lolita Express” jet—allegedly 26 times, involving the sexual trafficking of young girls—affect the Democratic Party’s election chances?[10]
© 2019, Timothy D. Naegele
[1] Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass). He and his firm, Timothy D. Naegele & Associates, specialize in Banking and Financial Institutions Law, Internet Law, Litigation and other matters (see www.naegele.com and Timothy D. Naegele Resume-19-4-29). He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University. He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., www.naegele.com/whats_new.html#articles), and can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com
[2] See https://buchanan.org/blog/are-democrats-ceding-the-center-to-trump-137283; see also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-17600 (“Abortions And Gay Rights Are Not American Values”)
[3] See, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hunter_Biden (“Hunter Biden”)
[4] See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/07/29/it-is-time-for-trump-supporters-to-fight-back/#comment-15821 (“Willie Brown’s Mistress Runs For America’s Presidency”); see also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/02/06/the-state-of-our-union-2019/#comment-17756 (“Texafornia: America’s Future?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/07/01/the-death-of-new-york-city/#comment-14019 (“THE DEATH OF SAN FRANCISCO?“) and https://www.sfgate.com/expensive-san-francisco/article/move-out-of-bay-area-california-where-to-go-cost-13614119.php (“53 percent of Californians want to leave the state, according to new survey”)
[5] See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/05/16/americas-newest-civil-war-2017-and-beyond/#comment-12509 (“LYING POCAHONTAS REFUSES TO BE TESTED“)
[6] The only exception might be Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, who has an impressive background, but she has many years ahead of her; and she can be viewed as a far-Left Democrat too.
[7] As I stated previously:
Liberalism and its counterparts in the far-Left beliefs and actions of the United States are an equal threat to America’s future [vis-à-vis our external enemies such as Russia’s dictator-for-life Vladimir Putin]. Whether it be the violent Antifa groups, who seek to silence dissent, or their counterparts in the Democratic Party, today’s radical Leftists are threats to America’s democracy, to its history and heritage, and to all that most Americans hold dear and cherish.
. . .
Perhaps the most vivid example of Liberalism in America today can be summed up in the following facts:
“Roe v. Wade unleashed a holocaust of epic proportions, which ranks with the greatest holocausts in human history—including the Nazi Holocaust, Stalin’s Soviet Holocaust and Mao’s Chinese Holocaust.
“Indeed, more human beings have been killed as a result of abortions—since the U.S. Supreme Court handed down its decision in 1973—than in each of the other three holocausts.”
See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/07/02/is-putin-right/ (“Is Putin Right?”); see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antifa_(United_States) (“Antifa (United States)”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2009/12/05/is-barack-obama-a-racist/ (“Is Barack Obama A Racist?”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/05/24/should-barack-obama-be-executed-for-treason/ (“Should Barack Obama Be Executed For Treason?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/10/20/the-real-russian-conspiracy-barack-obama-the-clintons-and-the-sale-of-americas-uranium-to-russias-killer-putin/ (“The Real Russian Conspiracy: Barack Obama, The Clintons, And The Sale Of America’s Uranium To Russia’s Killer Putin”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2014/01/06/ariel-sharon-is-missed/#comment-12626 (“DEMOCRATS ARE ANTI-SEMITES”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/05/16/americas-newest-civil-war-2017-and-beyond/ (“America’s Newest Civil War: 2017 And Beyond”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-17243 (“Finally, More Abortion Bans Are Coming“) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-3298 (“55 Million American Babies Killed Since Roe v. Wade“)
[8] See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/07/30/illegal-immigration-the-solution-is-simple/ (“Illegal Immigration: The Solution Is Simple”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article)
[9] See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2015/11/30/a-34-trillion-swindle-the-shame-of-global-warming/ (“A $34 Trillion Swindle: The Shame Of Global Warming”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article)
[10] See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7226525/Bill-Clinton-insists-no-idea-Jeffrey-Epsteins-terrible-crimes.html (“Bill Clinton insists he had no idea about Jeffrey Epstein’s ‘terrible crimes'”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7229027/President-Trump-banned-Jeffery-Epstein-Mar-Lago-sexually-assaulted-underage-girl.html (“President Trump banned Jeffery Epstein from Mar-a-Lago after he sexually assaulted an underage girl”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/09/24/washington-is-sick-and-the-american-people-know-it/#comment-7185 (“Clinton Fatigue”)
NO ASSUMPTIONS CONCERNING VOTERS
I would not try to predict the voters or election outcomes, but I also think Trump has the inside track to reelection next year. That said, President Trump still needs to get his numbers up to a 52% approval rating or so. Right now, his numbers are not quite strong enough to assure reelection. While Joe Biden is too old to be a good President and has bouts of senility, the Democratic Party can still use optics and their control of the media to help out Old Joe, while handicapping President Trump. Voters are easily fooled.
So, President Trump needs to pursue the same strategy that got him elected, namely work hard in the same half dozen or so “swing” states where Presidential elections are won. President Trump will probably never get votes in Blue States like California or New York. Those states do not determine elections because their votes are a given for Democrats anyway. If the economy holds-up without any further slowdown, then his chances of a second term are pretty good, it would seem.
LikeLike
Thank you, Craig. Yes, I would agree.
However, my hatred of the Democratic Party is so intense that I want to see its present incarnation buried, deeply.
Like Ronald Reagan, the party left me years ago and veered farther and farther to the left; I didn’t leave it.
Today, it is unrecognizable and indistinguishable from the authoritarians who run China, Putin’s Russia, Venezuela, Cuba and Iran. One step more and what the party is advocating would be fascist and totalitarian.
Large segments of the GOP are hopeless too. Once Donald Trump is viewed as our first Independent President, beholden to neither party but attacked by members of both, it makes sense.
He is bringing the GOP along, kicking and screaming. Only when true Neanderthals like Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are gone will the GOP be positioned for the future.
See also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/04/29/the-democrats-are-evil-but-smart-while-the-republicans-are-neanderthals-and-dumb/ (“The Democrats Are Evil But Smart, While The Republicans Are Neanderthals And Dumb”)
LikeLike
The Plot To Bury Biden [UPDATED]
[Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar]
Former minor speechwriter for Ronald Reagan, Peggy Noonan, has written in The Wall Street Journal about the pygmies, freaks and other misfits in the Democratic Party:
See https://www.wsj.com/articles/i-come-to-bury-biden-not-to-praise-him-11562885072 (“I Come to Bury Biden, Not to Praise Him“) (emphasis added); see also http://www.theamericanmirror.com/video-shaky-joe-biden-stumbles-slurs-coughs-through-major-speech/ (“Joe Biden stumbles, slurs, coughs through speech – Wonders ‘What am I doing?'”) and https://www.foxnews.com/politics/obamas-former-doctor-thinks-biden-looks-frail (“Biden ‘looked frail’ during Miami debate, Obama’s former doctor says“) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2014/01/06/ariel-sharon-is-missed/#comment-16306 (“Anti-Semitism Is Rife In America And Worldwide“) and https://www.mediaite.com/politics/trump-says-ilhan-omar-should-go-back-to-africa-you-cant-leave-fast-enough/ (“Trump Says Ilhan Omar Should Go Back to Africa: ‘You Can’t Leave Fast Enough'”) and https://www.dailywire.com/news/49475/not-typo-democrat-poll-shows-what-voters-think-ryan-saavedra (“Democrat Poll Shows What Voters Think Of Omar, Ocasio-Cortez”—”A new internal Democrat poll in swing districts released on Sunday showed that socialist Reps. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Ilhan Omar (D-MN) are extremely unpopular and that they may cost the Democratic Party the presidency and the House in 2020. ‘Ocasio-Cortez was recognized by 74% of voters in the poll; 22% had a favorable view,’ Axios reported. ‘Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota — another member of The Squad — was recognized by 53% of the voters; 9% (not a typo) had a favorable view'”) and http://www.startribune.com/new-documents-revisit-questions-about-rep-ilhan-omar-s-marriage/511681362/ (“New documents revisit questions about Rep. Ilhan Omar’s marriage history“) and https://www.wsj.com/articles/aoc-is-the-gift-that-keeps-giving-11563404196 (“AOC Is the Gift That Keeps Giving”—”New Yorker editor David Remnick recently asked about her call to abolish U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Couldn’t ICE be reformed? No, replied the freshman Democrat. ‘The core structure of ICE’ and ‘the entire Department of Homeland Security’ are ‘large threats to American civil liberties’”—”[T]he draft of the Green New Deal she issued in February wasn’t an aberration. That’s the draft with references to cow flatulence, unspecified constraints on commercial air travel, and a collection of left-wing nostrums to transform America into a new Venezuela. Her chief of staff told the truth last week: The Green New Deal isn’t mainly about climate—it’s about making America socialist”—”There are reasons why AOC, ‘The Squad’ of her running buddies on the House’s far-left fringe, and their operatives are characterizing some less-liberal Democratic representatives as akin to 1940s Southern segregationists, threatening them with primary challenges, and even castigating Speaker Nancy Pelosi as a racist. They’re convinced the shock value of their attacks and radical ideas will give their movement dominance over the Democratic Party and the country. For now, they’re drowning out the Democratic presidential candidates. As these young representatives become the face of their party, they define it with their wackiness. Donald Trump knows this, and he will take full advantage of their gift”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/07/17/is-trump-driving-a-wedge-through-the-democratic-party/#comment-18138 (“Should Ilhan Omar Be Imprisoned Or Deported?“)
LikeLike
A BETRAYAL A DAY KEEPS BRUTUS AWAY
Politicians betray people quite regularly whenever it suits them. There is little that can be done in-return, as most politicians know how to keep the general public satisfied. If the average voters is satisfied, then the incumbent has a career every year. As long as the party is doing fine, so are most of its members, as well.
They are all rowing the same Roman Galley and if it is rammed by an enemy ship, then all hands go down together, as well. Congress is firmly in Democratic Hands, as the voters wanted. Divided Government is what is more acceptable, unless its the Democrats.
Congress voted 365 to 65 to expand H1B Vistas for Indian Technology workers by 300,000. The Tech. industry has pull and we need engineers. Unfortunately, there are insufficient Americans who have this special skill set, so we need to import more Indians. 140 Republicans sided with the Democrats on this immigration matter. So much for MAGA.
140 House Republicans sided with the Democrats (bipartisan) have thus double-crossed President Trump and those who elected him, unless Senator Majority leader Mitch McConnell shelves this piece of legislation. 300,000 is a lot of good paying jobs to give to foreign nationals. Who says globalism is dead? How about globalism lite ?
If you can not move the jobs to India then move the Indians over here. Same diff. Voters don’t really vote specific public policy issues anyway, they vote their pocketbooks and they vote for individual “personalities”. Otherwise, the Democrats would not be the majority in Congress today. Hillary had a terrible personality and nobody much liked her, as was the case with vanquished Presidential contender, (RHINO) Mitt Romney in 2012. He was not popular even with Republicans.
LikeLike
Thank you, Craig, for your comments.
“Congress is firmly in Democratic Hands” only applies if one assumes that the GOP majority in the Senate votes with the Democrats.
As we have discussed before, many of them are “stupid” and spineless, so often do so.
See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/06/14/the-chicken-hearted-neanderthals-in-the-gop/ (“The Chicken-Hearted Neanderthals In The GOP”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/04/29/the-democrats-are-evil-but-smart-while-the-republicans-are-neanderthals-and-dumb/ (“The Democrats Are Evil But Smart, While The Republicans Are Neanderthals And Dumb”)
LikeLike