When Will Putin Die?

16 09 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

It is relatively easy to chronicle the Russian butcher Vladimir Putin’s rise to power.[2]  What is not crystal clear is when he will die, and what savagery will he unleash between now and then.

Will he be killed like Julius Caesar by those around him who betray him?  What will he do beforehand, in a desperate attempt to postpone the inevitable and cling to power?  Launch World War III, with Russia’s axis of evil partner China?

In a real sense, that war began long ago when China unleashed the deadly Coronavirus pandemic on the world, which still rages as the virus mutates.  Pat Buchanan—an adviser to Presidents Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and Gerald Ford, and a former GOP presidential aspirant himself—has offered his views about a possible scenario as follows:

A desperate Vladimir Putin is a dangerous Vladimir Putin, and there are signs Putin’s situation in Ukraine may be becoming desperate.

In the last week, the Russian army in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine was driven out of some 2,200 square miles of territory, according to the Ukrainians, whose soldiers are now two miles from the Russian border.

The Kharkiv battle was a rout for the surprised Russians who tore off their uniforms, threw down their weapons and fled, some on stolen bicycles.  For Russia, it was the worst defeat of the war.

That Moscow sustained a stunning setback is attested to by the news that Russian nationalists back home have begun to grumble openly about Putin’s management of the war he launched on Feb. 24.

Where does Putin stand now?

He is in the seventh month of a war he launched last winter, and he appears to be headed into this coming winter with no victory and no end to the war in sight.

His early offensives, while successful north of Crimea and in the Donbas, failed to capture Kiev, Kharkiv or Odessa on the Black Sea, Ukraine’s three largest cities, which were Russia’s strategic objectives.

Putin’s gains in the Donbas are the one great prize he has.  But his army is now demoralized and on the defensive.  The momentum of the war has shifted in Kiev’s favor.

Western and, in particular, the U.S. weapons Ukraine is being provided have proven devastating to the Russian forces, whose losses in tanks, armor and troops are major.

Thousands of Russian soldiers have been killed, wounded or captured.  Putin has no available reserves in Russia without imposing conscription to replace them.

The Ukrainians now appear to be guaranteed an endless supply of the modern U.S. weapons they have used to decimate the Russian army.

The present prospect for Putin is thus no victory, no end to the war, no end to the weekly casualty lists of dead, wounded and missing, a continued stalemate now, and the prospect of eventual defeat ahead.

Could Putin survive perceived defeat in a war he launched, and the personal, political and national humiliation he and Russia would sustain from such a defeat?  Would Putin be able to survive that and remain president of Russia after 22 years in power?

In short, in a war history will call Putin’s War, the tide is turning against the Russians, and Putin faces the prospect of having been the ruler who launched Russia’s least necessary and lost war.

What are Putin’s options?

The first is to stay the course, cut off oil and gas exports to NATO Europe, and hope Ukraine’s losses and Europe’s hardships this winter compel Kiev and its allies to accept a truce that allows Russia to retain some of the new territory it has gained since Feb. 24.

The problem with this course of action is that it is Ukraine’s army that appears to have time on its side now and the wind at its back.

The alternative to a war that lasts as long as the Ukrainians are willing to fight to drive the Russians out is for Russia to escalate and win, and force an end to the fighting.

How could Moscow do this?

First, Putin could raise the stakes, say we are at war with NATO, call up Russian’s army reserves, as in World War II, and conscript enough new soldiers to replace those already lost.

Second, there is the Grozny option, the devastating artillery, air and rocket assault the Russians visited upon the Chechen capital to bring an end to a separatist moment in 2000.

But would the Russians, before the eyes of the world, do to Kiev or Kharkiv what they did to Grozny a quarter century ago?

Beyond the Grozny option, there is the nuclear option.

Russia has thousands of tactical atomic weapons, the largest such arsenal in the world, and the threat to use, or the actual use of one or more of these weapons, would raise the stakes in the war exponentially.

Early in this war, Russia’s hawks talked openly of the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons.  That talk has begun anew.

The basic question comes down to this:

Would Putin threaten or use nuclear weapons to prevent a defeat and humiliation for himself and Russia?  And, if so, how and where would he use them?  And how would Kiev and the West respond?

America, Britain and France are all three both NATO and nuclear-weapons states.  But none has a vital interest in the outcome of this Ukraine war to justify a nuclear war with Russia, even if Russia resorts to first use of such a weapon.

The longer this war goes on, and the sooner the Russian bleeding becomes intolerable to Putin, the more likely it is that he will escalate, rather than capitulate and accept defeat and humiliation for his country and himself, leading to his removal from power.

Again, a desperate Putin is a dangerous Putin.[3]

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/   He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service).  Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/07/30/will-putin-lead-us-to-world-war-iii-or-die-trying/ (“Will Putin Lead Us To World War III, Or Die Trying?”)

[3]  See https://buchanan.org/blog/putins-narrowing-options-159644 (“Putin’s Narrowing Options”)





Will Putin Lead Us To World War III, Or Die Trying?

30 07 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

The UK’s Economist has a comprehensive article or editorial about Russia’s Vladimir Putin and his “grand designs,” which is worth reading in its entirety:

What matters most in Moscow these days is what is missing.  Nobody speaks openly of the war in Ukraine.  The word is banned and talk is dangerous.  The only trace of the fighting going on 1,000km to the south is advertising hoardings covered with portraits of heroic soldiers.  And yet Russia is in the midst of a war.

In the same way, Moscow has no torch processions.  Displays of the half-swastika “z” sign, representing support for the war, are rare.  Stormtroopers do not stage pogroms.  Vladimir Putin, Russia’s ageing dictator, does not rally crowds of ecstatic youth or call for mass mobilisation.  And yet Russia is in the grip of fascism.

Just as Moscow conceals its war behind a “special military operation”, so it conceals its fascism behind a campaign to eradicate “Nazis” in Ukraine.  Nevertheless Timothy Snyder, a professor at Yale University, detects the tell-tale symptoms: “People disagree, often vehemently, over what constitutes fascism,” he wrote recently in the New York Times, “but today’s Russia meets most of the criteria.”

The Kremlin has built a cult of personality around Mr Putin and a cult of the dead around the Great Patriotic War of 1941-45.  Mr Putin’s regime yearns to restore a lost golden age and for Russia to be purged by healing violence.  You could add to Mr Snyder’s list a hatred of homosexuality, a fixation with the traditional family and a fanatical faith in the power of the state.  None of these come naturally in a secular country with a strong anarchist streak and permissive views on sex.

Understanding where Russia is going under Mr Putin means understanding where it has come from.  For much of his rule, the West saw Russia as a mafia state presiding over an atomised society.  That was not wrong, but it was incomplete.  A decade ago Mr Putin’s popularity began to wane.  He responded by drawing on the fascist thinking that had re-emerged after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

This may have begun as a political calculation, but Mr Putin got caught up in a cycle of grievance and resentment that has left reason far behind.  It has culminated in a ruinous war that many thought would never happen precisely because it defied the weighing of risks and rewards.

Under Mr Putin’s form of fascism, Russia is set on a course that knows no turning back.  Without the rhetoric of victimhood and the use of violence, Mr Putin has nothing to offer his people.  For Western democracies this onward march means that, while he is in power, dealings with Russia will be riven by hostility and contempt.  Some in the West want a return to business as usual once the war is over, but there can be no true peace with a fascist Russia.

For Ukraine, this means a long war.  Mr Putin’s aim is not only to take territory, but to crush the democratic ideal that is flourishing among Russia’s neighbours and their sense of separate national identity.  He cannot afford to lose.  Even if there is a ceasefire, he is intent on making Ukraine fail, with a fresh use of force if necessary.  It means that he will use violence and totalitarianism to impose his will at home.  He is not only out to crush a free Ukraine, but is also waging war against the best dreams of his own people.  So far he is winning.

War is peace

What is Russian fascism?  The F word is often tossed around casually.  It has no settled definition, but it feeds on exceptionalism and ressentiment, a mixture of jealousy and frustration born out of humiliation.  In Russia’s case, the source of this humiliation is not defeat by foreign powers, but abuse suffered by the people at the hands of their own rulers.  Deprived of agency and fearful of the authorities, they seek compensation in an imaginary revenge against enemies appointed by the state.

Fascism involves performances—think of all those rallies and uniforms—laced with the thrill of real violence.  In all its varieties, Mr Snyder says, it is characterised by the triumph of the will over reason.  His essay was entitled “We should say it. Russia is fascist”.  In fact the first to talk about it were Russians themselves.  One of them was Yegor Gaidar, the first post-Soviet prime minister.  In 2007 he saw a spectre rising from Russia’s post-imperial nostalgia.  “Russia is going through a dangerous phase,” he wrote.  “We should not succumb to the magic of numbers but the fact that there was a 15-year gap between the collapse of the German Empire and Hitler’s rise to power and 15 years between the collapse of the USSR and Russia in 2006-07 makes one think…”

By 2014 Boris Nemtsov, another liberal politician, was clear: “Aggression and cruelty are stoked by the television while the key definitions are supplied by the slightly possessed Kremlin master… The Kremlin is cultivating and rewarding the lowest instincts in people, provoking hatred and fighting.  This hell cannot end peacefully.”

A year later Nemtsov, by then labelled a “national traitor”, was murdered beside the Kremlin.  In his final interview, a few hours before his death, he warned that “Russia is rapidly turning into a fascist state.  We already have propaganda modelled after Nazi Germany.  We also have a nucleus of assault brigades… That’s just the beginning.”

Nobody has signalled the growing influence of fascism more loudly than Mr Putin and his acolytes.  Far from Moscow’s prosperous streets, the Kremlin has marked tanks, people and television channels with the letter Z.  The half-swastika has been painted on the doors of Russian film and theatre critics, promoters of “decadent and degenerate” Western art.  Hospital patients and groups of children, some kneeling, have been arranged to form half-swastikas for posting online.

In the 1930s Walter Benjamin, an exiled German cultural critic, analysed fascism as a performance.  “The logical result of fascism is the introduction of aesthetics into political life,” he wrote.  These aesthetics were designed to supplant reason and their ultimate expression was war.

Today the two faces of the war on television, Vladimir Solovyov and Olga Skabeeva, are caricatures of Nazi propagandists.  Mr Solovyov is often dressed in a black double-breasted Bavarian-style jacket.  Ms Skabeeva, severe and chiselled, has a hint of the dominatrix.  They project hatred and aggression.  They and their guests decry the West for having declared war on Russia and plead theatrically with Mr Putin to reduce it to ashes by unleashing the full might of Russia’s nuclear arsenal.

This fantasy Armageddon is matched by real violence, the basis of the relationship between the Russian state and its people.  A Levada poll commissioned by Committee Against Torture (now itself blacklisted) showed that 10% of the Russian population has experienced torture by law-enforcement agencies at some point.  There is a culture of cruelty.  Domestic abuse is no longer a crime in Russia.  In the first week of the war young women protesters were humiliated and sexually abused in police cells.  Nearly 30% of Russians say torture should be allowed.

Atrocities committed by the Russian army in Bucha and other occupied cities are not just excesses of war or a breakdown in discipline, but a feature of army life that is spread more widely by veterans.  The 64th Motor Rifle Brigade, which allegedly carried out the atrocities, was honoured by Mr Putin with the title of “Guards” for defending the “motherland and state interests” and praised for its “mass heroism and valour, tenacity and courage”.  The brigade, based in the far east, is notorious in Russia for its bullying and abuse.

Like much else coming from the Kremlin, fascism is a top-down project, a move by the ruling elite rather than a grassroots movement.  It requires passive acceptance rather than mobilisation of the masses.  Its aim is to disengage people and prevent any form of self-organisation.  The Kremlin and television bosses can turn it up and down.  In the early years of his presidency Mr Putin used money to keep the people out of politics.  After the economy stalled in 2011-12 and the urban middle class came out on the streets to demand more rights, he stoked nationalism and hatred.  During the political calm after the annexation of Crimea in 2014 fascism was turned down as suddenly as it had come up.

Its resurgence in 2021-22 followed the decline in Mr Putin’s legitimacy, protests against the poisoning and arrest of Alexei Navalny, an opposition leader, and the growing alienation of younger Russians who are less susceptible to television propaganda and more open to the West.  To them Mr Putin was an ageing, vengeful and corrupt grandpa who had a secret palace exposed by Mr Navalny’s much-watched YouTube film in 2021.  Mr Putin needed to turn the volume back up again and Ukraine offered him the means.

Freedom is slavery

Russian fascism has deep roots, going all the way back to the early 20th century.  Fascist ideas flourished among White émigrés after the Bolshevik revolution and they were partly re-imported to the Soviet Union by Stalin after the war.  He feared that a victory over fascism, won with America and Britain, would empower and liberate his own people.  So he turned Soviet success into the triumph of totalitarianism and Russian imperial nationalism.  He re-branded war allies as enemies and fascists hellbent on destroying the Soviet Union and depriving it of its glory.

In the decades that followed, fascism was constrained by official communist ideology and by Russians’ personal experience of fighting the Nazis alongside the Western allies.  After the Soviet collapse, however, both of these constraints disappeared and the dark matter was released.  In addition, the liberal elite of the 1990s completely rejected the old Soviet values, sweeping away a strong tradition of anti-fascist literature and arts.

All the while fascism had festered undercover, within the KGB.  In the late 1990s Alexander Yakovlev, the architect of democratic reforms under Mikhail Gorbachev, talked openly about the security services as a cradle of fascism.  “The danger of fascism in Russia is real because since 1917 we have become used to living in a criminal world with a criminal state in charge.  Banditry, sanctified by ideology—this wording suits both communists and fascists.”

Such ambiguity was on full display in “Seventeen Moments of Spring”, a hugely popular 12-part television series made on the KGB’s orders in the 1970s.  On the face of it, the series was nothing more than an attempt to rebrand the Stalinist secret police.  Yuri Andropov, then KGB chief and later Soviet leader, wanted to glamorise Soviet spies and attract a new generation of young men into the service.  As it turned out, the programmes helped introduce a Nazi aesthetic into Russia’s popular culture—an aesthetic that would eventually be exploited by Mr Putin.

The hero is a fictional Soviet spy who infiltrates the Nazi high command under the name Max Otto von Stierlitz.  He is a high-ranking Standartenführer in the SS, whose mission is to foil a secret plan forged between the CIA and Germany near the end of the war.  Played by the best-loved Soviet actors, the Nazis in the film are humane and attractive.  Vyacheslav Tikhonov, who played the role of Stierlitz, was a model of male perfection.  Tall and handsome, with perfect cheekbones, he shone in a sleek Nazi uniform that had been tailored in the Soviet defence ministry.

Ordinary Russians were mesmerised.  Dmitry Prigov, a Russian artist and poet, wrote: “Our wonderful Stierlitz is the perfect fascist man and the perfect Soviet man at the same time, making transgressive transitions from one to the other with subduing and untraceable ease… He is the harbinger of a new age—a time of mobility and manipulativeness.”

Mr Putin was the beneficiary.  In 1999, just before he was named as Russia’s president, voters told pollsters that Stierlitz would be one of their ideal choices for the office, behind Georgy Zhukov, the Red Army’s commander in the second world war.  Mr Putin, a former KGB man who had been stationed in East Germany, had cultivated the image of a latter-day Stierlitz.

When VTSIOM, one of the pollsters, repeated the exercise in 2019, Stierlitz came in first place.  “An inversion has occurred,” the pollsters said.  “In 1999 Putin seemed the preferred candidate because he looked like Stierlitz; in 2019 the image of Stierlitz remains relevant because it is being implemented by the country’s most popular politician.”  On June 24th this year a statue to Stierlitz was unveiled in front of the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) headquarters that was part of the Soviet KGB.

For Mr Putin, the fascist aesthetic is matched by a distinctively Russian fascist philosophy.  He and most of his former KGB peers embraced capitalism and rallied against liberals and socialists. They also projected the humiliation they had suffered in the first post-Soviet decade onto the whole country, portraying the end of the cold war as a betrayal and defeat.

Their prophet is Ivan Ilyin, a thinker of the early 20th century who was sent into exile by the Bolsheviks in the 1920s and embraced fascism in Italy and Germany.  Ilyin saw fascism as a “necessary and inevitable phenomenon…based on a healthy sense of national patriotism”.  He provided justification for their self-appointed role as the state’s guardians.  As such, they were entitled to control its resources.

After the second world war, Ilyin rejected what he saw as Hitler’s errors, such as atheism, and his crimes, including the extermination of the Jews.  But he retained his faith in the fascist idea of national resurgence.  In 1948 he wrote that “fascism is a complex, multifaceted phenomenon and, historically speaking, far from being outlived.”  Accordingly, Mr Putin embraced religion, rejected anti-Semitism and eschewed collective leadership for his own direct rule, confirmed by plebiscites.

Ilyin’s book, “Our Tasks”, was recommended by the Kremlin as essential reading to state officials in 2013.  It ends with a short essay to a future Russian leader.  Western-style democracy and elections would bring ruin to Russia, Ilyin wrote.  Only “united and strong state power, dictatorial in scope and state-national in essence” could save it from chaos.

The Ilyin work Mr Putin is said to have read and reread is “What Dismemberment of Russia Would Mean for the World”, written in 1950.  In it the author argues that Western powers will try “to carry out their hostile and ridiculous experiment even in the post-Bolshevik chaos, deceptively presenting it as the supreme triumph of ‘freedom’, ‘democracy’ and ‘federalism’… German propaganda has invested too much money and effort in Ukrainian separatism (and maybe not only Ukrainian)”.

In 2005, following the first popular uprising in Ukraine, known as the Orange revolution, Mr Putin called the collapse of the Soviet Union the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.  Drawing on anti-Ukrainian feelings in Russia, he then set his country on a path of confrontation with the West.  That same year Ilyin’s body was brought back to Russia from Switzerland, where he had died in exile in 1954.  Mr Putin reportedly paid for the gravestone from his own savings.  In 2009 he laid flowers on Ilyin’s grave.

Ignorance is strength

The fact that Mr Putin has embraced fascist methods and fascist thinking holds an alarming message for the rest of the world. Fascism works by creating enemies. It makes Russia the brave victim of others’ hatred even as it justifies feelings of hatred towards its real and imagined foes at home and abroad.

Dmitry Medvedev, a former president and “moderniser”, recently posted on social media: “I hate them.  They are bastards and degenerates.  They want us, Russia, dead… I’ll do all I can to make them disappear.”  He did not bother to say who he had in mind.  But Russia’s hostility has three targets: the liberal West, Ukraine and traitors at home.  All of them need to take stock of what Russian fascism means.

Mr Putin has long sought to undermine Western democracies.  He has supported far-right parties in Europe, such as National Rally in France, Fidesz in Hungary and the Northern League in Italy.  He has interfered in American elections, hoping to help Donald Trump defeat the Democrats.

Even if fighting stops in Ukraine, the devotee of Ilyin in the Kremlin will not settle into an accommodation with Western democracies.  Mr Putin and his men will do everything in their power to battle liberalism and sow discord.

For centuries Russia has been partly European, but Kirill Rogov, a political analyst, wrote recently that the war in Ukraine enabled Mr Putin to cut off that part of its identity.  As long as Mr Putin is in power, Russia will build alliances with China, Iran and other anti-liberal countries.  It will, as ever, be in the ideological vanguard.

The outlook for Ukraine is even more bleak.  A few weeks after the start of the war Ria Novosti, a state news agency, published an article that called for the purging “of the ethnic component of self-identification among the people populating the territories of historical Malorossia and Novorossia [Ukraine and Belarus] initiated by the Soviet powers.”

Ukraine, Mr Putin said, was the source of deadly viruses, home to American-funded biological labs experimenting with strains of coronavirus and cholera.  “Biological weapons were being created in direct proximity to Russia,” he warned.

On Russian state television, Ukrainians are called worms.  In a recent talk show Mr Solovyov joked: “When a doctor is deworming a cat, for the doctor it is a special operation, for the worms it is a war and for the cat it is cleansing.”  Margarita Simonyan, the boss of RT, a state-controlled international tv network, stated that “Ukraine cannot continue to exist.”

The purpose of the invasion is not just to capture territory but to cleanse Ukraine of its separate identity, which threatens the identity of Russia as an imperial nation.  Along with its punitive forces, the Kremlin has also dispatched hundreds of schoolteachers to re-educate Ukrainian children in the occupied territories.  It equates an independent sovereign Ukraine with Nazism.  Either Ukraine will cease to exist as a nation state or Russia itself will be infected by the idea of emancipation that will destroy its imperial identity.

The bleakest of all is the outlook for Russia.  Mr Putin did not plan on a war of attrition.  He imagined that a strike on Kyiv would rapidly lead to a new regime in Ukraine and the submission of Ukrainian society to his will.  So far, Mr Putin has failed to defeat Ukraine.  But he has succeeded in defeating Russia.

Talk of bodily contamination and cleansing is not limited to Ukraine.  Russia also contains alien elements—oyster-slurping, foie-gras-eating traitors who mentally live in the West and are infected with ideas of gender fluidity.  The Russian people, Mr Putin declared in a tv address, will “simply spit them out like an insect in their mouth” leading to “a natural and necessary self-detoxification of society”.

Like Stalin, Mr Putin distrusts and fears the people.  They need to be controlled, manipulated and, when necessary, suppressed.  He excludes them from real decision-making.  As Greg Yudin, a Russian sociologist, argues, they are needed for the ritual of elections that demonstrate the legitimacy of the ruler, but the rest of the time they should be invisible.  Mr Yudin calls this attitude “people on call”.

The war changed everything.  As Hitler told Goebbels in the spring of 1943, “the war…made possible for us the solution of a whole series of problems that could never have been solved in normal times”.  Soon Mr Putin was able to impose de-facto military rule and censorship.  He blocked Facebook, Twitter and Instagram and any remaining independent media, isolated the country from poisonous Western influence and chased anyone who objected to the war out of the country.  Any public statement that challenges the Kremlin’s version of events in Ukraine is punishable by a 15-year prison sentence.

Gregory Asmolov, of King’s College London, argues this new political reality was unimaginable only months ago and is the Kremlin’s most significant achievement in the conflict.  The war has enabled Mr Putin to transform Russia into what Mr Asmolov calls a “disconnective society”.  He wrote that “These efforts are driven by the notion that it’s impossible to protect the internal legitimacy of the current leadership and keep citizens loyal if Russia remains relatively open and linked up to the global networked system.”

So far Mr Putin’s aim has been to paralyse Russian society rather than rally the crowds.  The show of unity and mobilisation is achieved by television operating in the information space cleared of alternative voices.  Among television viewers—mostly people over 60—more than 80% support the war.  Among 18- to 24-year-olds, who get their news from the internet, it is less than half.  This is perhaps why the symbolic representatives of the Z-operation are not working men and women, but a babushka with a red-flag and an eight-year-old “grandson” (painted on murals and imprinted on chocolate wrappers, respectively).  They are the ideal television viewers and reality-show extras.

The combination of fear and propaganda produces what Mr Rogov calls an “imposed consensus”.  The state publicises opinion polls showing that the majority of Russians support the “special military operation”.  The main reason people support Mr Putin is that they think everybody else does, too.  The need to belong is powerful.  Even when people have access to information, they “simply ignore it or rationalise it, just to avoid destroying the concept of self, country and power…created by propaganda,” notes Elena Koneva, a sociologist.

The engine of fascism does not have a reverse gear.  Mr Putin cannot turn back to a reality-based brand of authoritarianism.  Expansion is in its nature.  It will seek to expand both geographically and into people’s private lives.  As the war drags on and casualties mount, the question is whether Mr Putin can mobilise the passive majority or whether they start to grow restive.  The elites in the Kremlin, the army and the security services will watch closely.

Two plus two make four

Victor Klemperer, a German Jew who fought in the first world war and survived the second, wrote that “Nazism permeated the flesh and blood of the people through single words, idioms and sentence structures which were imposed on them in a million repetitions.”  His book, “The Language of the Third Reich”, describes how the dissociating prefix ent- (de-) gained prominence in Germany during the war.

As Russian tanks stormed Ukraine in the small hours of February 24th, Mr Putin began his war against Ukraine with that same dissociating prefix.  The goal, he said, was denatsifikatsia (de-Nazification) and demilitarizatsia (de-militarisation).  Ria Novosti, the state news agency, later added that “De-Nazification inevitably will be also de-Ukrainisation.”

“Germany was almost destroyed by Nazism,” Klemperer wrote, “The task of curing it of this fatal disease is today termed ‘de-Nazification’.  I hope, and indeed believe, that this dreadful word…will fade away and lead no more than a historical existence as soon as it has performed its current duty… But that won’t be for some time yet, because it is not only Nazi actions that have to vanish, but also…the typical Nazi way of thinking and its breeding-ground: the language of Nazism.”[2]

A fascinating and thought-provoking summary of history, which can change in an instant:

  • “Dead men tell no tales.”  Putin can and may be snuffed out by one or more assassins; or cancer or some other ailment may take his life.

 • I have written extensively about Putin[3], and was in Berlin when the Soviet Union collapsed and its soldiers were selling their uniforms and plumbing fixtures from their barracks, and retreating to “tent cities” in the USSR.

  • Russians may be treated as pariahs globally for at least a generation.

  • What I wrote several years ago is worth repeating:

Russia is weaker today than the former USSR before it collapsed.  It spans nine time zones and includes 160 ethnic groups that speak an estimated 100 languages.  It is by no means monolithic, and may crumble “overnight.”  Once Putin is gone, Russia may be dismembered—never to rise again—with China taking part (e.g., Siberia, which it covets) and the rest becoming independent states like the former Yugoslavia.

Each of the new states will act in its own best interests, just as has been true in the former Yugoslavia, and among the countries that were spun off from the USSR—which have thrived as part of the West.  Putinism will not survive Putin.  It will suffer an ignominious death, like its namesake; and constitute a tragic watershed in history, like Adolf Hitler’s “Thousand Year Reich” and Nazism.[4]

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/   He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service).  Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See https://www.economist.com/briefing/2022/07/28/vladimir-putin-is-in-thrall-to-a-distinctive-brand-of-russian-fascism (“Vladimir Putin is in thrall to a distinctive brand of Russian fascism”)

[3]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/09/russias-putin-is-a-killer/ (“Russia’s Putin Is A Killer”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2015/11/29/the-death-of-putin-and-russia-the-final-chapter-of-the-cold-war/ (“The Death Of Putin And Russia: The Final Chapter Of the Cold War”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/07/02/is-putin-right/ (“Is Putin Right?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2021/12/07/a-cowards-approach-to-russias-pygmy-putin/ (“A Coward’s Approach To Russia’s Pygmy Putin?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/01/27/ (“Will Putin Seize Ukraine, And If So When?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/02/24/russias-kgb-trained-killer-putin-may-be-more-dangerous-than-hitler-or-stalin/ (“Russia’s KGB-Trained Killer Putin May Be More Dangerous Than Hitler Or Stalin”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/02/25/sever-the-head-of-a-snake-and-it-dies/ (“Sever The Head Of A Snake, And It Dies”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/02/27/putin-must-be-treated-as-a-war-criminal/ (“Putin Must Be Treated As A War Criminal”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/12/terminate-putin-now-and-the-war-in-ukraine-may-end-and-world-war-iii-might-be-avoided/ (“Terminate Putin Now, And The War In Ukraine May End, And World War III Might Be Avoided”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/20/rip-joe-biden-and-vladimir-putin/ (“RIP Joe Biden And Vladimir Putin”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/04/16/putin-must-die-now/ (“Putin Must Die Now”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/04/23/russians-are-the-walking-dead/ (“Russians Are The Walking Dead”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/04/30/russia-must-not-be-crippled-but-destroyed-like-the-soviet-union-before-it/ (“Russia Must Not Be Crippled, But Destroyed Like The Soviet Union Before It”)

[4]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2015/11/29/the-death-of-putin-and-russia-the-final-chapter-of-the-cold-war/ (“The Death Of Putin And Russia: The Final Chapter Of The Cold War”)





World War III

12 06 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

Some of us have lived through World War II, the Korean War, our wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and “minor skirmishes” such as John F. Kennedy’s “Bay of Pigs” fiasco in Cuba.[2]  In the tony area of Los Angeles called Brentwood, just up the street from where O.J. Simpson killed his wife Nicole and Ron Goldman, my elementary school classmates and I went through mock nuclear attack drills.  We had to hide under our school desks and cover our heads, to protect ourselves against “falling debris” from Soviet attacks that thankfully never came.

Growing up a mile or so west of the UCLA campus in Los Angeles, my first and only childhood memories of World War II were of giant searchlights—like those used at Hollywood movie premieres—scanning the skies for Japanese aircraft.  Was this an overreaction?  The fact is that a Japanese submarine shelled the Santa Barbara oilfields at Ellwood, just north of today’s UCSB college campus.[3]

Now, in a country that few Americans knew anything about, Russia’s KGB-trained killer Vladimir Putin’s thugs have destroyed much of Ukraine, and have raped and tortured Ukrainian women, and subjected Ukrainians to barbarism not seen in Europe since World War II.  Many forget that when his Soviet antecedents entered Berlin at the end of that war, they raped an estimated 2 million German women.  A former secretary of mine was a young girl there; and what she witnessed was unspeakable.  No human being should ever go through that, she told me, yet it is happening again, as Putin’s barbarians defy all civilized norms.

And all of this is occurring as the world slowly recovers from China’s deadly Coronavirus pandemic and its lockdowns, which have killed or injured millions, physically, economically and mentally.  Not satisfied, the Chinese huns in Beijing are threatening war unless the United States and the West acquiesce to their demands regarding Taiwan and the Pacific.[4]  As if this was not enough, Putin even threatens the Arctic[5], in addition to unleashing a nuclear war.

None of the catastrophes overshadow the possibility of nation-ending EMP attacks, which might kill millions.[6]  Is this pure and unadulterated madness?  Of course it is.[7]  And it is occurring at a time in history when the United States is leaderless, and perhaps more divided than at anytime since the Vietnam War.  We have a President who can barely utter a complete thought, and who may have been mentally impaired after at least two brain operations.[8]  And we have a Vice President standing in the wings and waiting for him to “croak,” who was a former ho.[9]

Also, illegal aliens (including human traffickers and members of drug cartels) have been flooding across our borders, unobstructed.  Crime has been spiraling out of control because our police have been targeted by the thugs, slugs, hoods and mongrels of “Black Lives Matter,” Antifa and other far-Left groups, which have burned our cities and destroyed black and other businesses.  Prices for gasoline and other commodities have reached stratospheric levels, and are expected to climb even higher, because America’s eco-Nazis have sought to curtail or destroy our oil production and independence.  And shortages of vital goods exist.

The United States has been weakened at a critical time in history when we as Americans—of all colors, ethnicities, religious beliefs and economic levels—can ill afford it.  Needless to say, this whets the appetites of our enemies, and is what they have been planning carefully for years.  Our automobile sales lots are empty because of the shortage of chips and other essential parts.  Our laptops and many cellphones are made in China; and if Chinese products were removed from the shelves of Walmart stores, they would be decimated.

The game of chess is won by those who plan ahead, and advance methodically from move to move, and from “check” to “checkmate.”  Right now it can be argued that China and Russia are moving ever so close to having us in “check,” by crippling our great nation.  Their next move would be “checkmate,” which would destroy our lives as we have known them.  Only by waking up now, and realizing fully the perils we face, can we avoid a catastrophic end that none of us ever thought would be possible.

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/   He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service).  Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See, e.g.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bay_of_Pigs_Invasion (“Bay of Pigs Invasion”)

[3]  See https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombardment_of_Ellwood (“Bombardment of Ellwood”)

[4]  See https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10906289/China-threatens-war-saying-smash-smithereens-independence-plot-Taiwan.html (“China threatens war when it comes to ‘independence plot’ over Taiwan”)

[5]  See https://news.yahoo.com/russian-military-moves-in-the-arctic-worry-the-us-and-nato-090027224.html (“Russian military moves in the Arctic worry the U.S. and NATO”)

[6]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/01/19/emp-attack-only-30-million-americans-survive/ (“EMP Attack: Only 30 Million Americans Survive”) (see also the comments beneath the article)

[7]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/01/world-war-iii-has-begun/ (“World War III Has Begun”)

[8]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/08/biden-is-brain-dead/ (“Biden Is Brain Dead”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10906963/Top-Democrats-say-Biden-NOT-run-election-2024.html (“Top Democrats say Biden should NOT run for re-election in 2024”)

[9]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/11/brain-dead-joe-biden-has-picked-willie-browns-ho-as-our-next-president/ (“Brain Dead Joe Biden Has Picked Willie Brown’s Ho As Our Next President”)





Let The Celebrations Begin—Putin Will Die Soon

5 05 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

Vladimir Putin will die, hopefully a grisly death.  This is an immutable fact—of how the civilized world views him.  He alone is principally responsible for the killing of innocent Ukrainians; the raping and disfigurement of Ukrainian women, men and children; and the suffering of so many.

The more he suffers, the louder and longer will be the exhalations and celebrations.  He and Russians are viewed as global pariahs, and very sick perverts.[2]  Yes, that may seem harsh, cruel and even Godless, but what he has done to destroy Ukraine and its courageous people is sadistic and barbaric at the very least.  He is pure evil, incarnate.

Soon, Russia may implode like the Soviet Union before it, and exist no more.  Putinism will die with Putin.[3]  The rape of approximately 2 million German women by the Soviet military—aka Russian barbarians—when they entered Berlin at the end of World War II, will have been avenged, somewhat.

Now a healing must take place, or at least begin, among Ukrainians.  Those who fled their country must be welcomed back; and its heroes must be honored.  Families must be reconstituted; and rebuilding must take place.  Like the fall of the USSR, and in particular Berlin and Dresden in East Germany (or the DDR), reconstruction will erase the most visible scars of a war that will never be forgotten.

Lastly, America’s despicable Left—aka Democrats or so-called “Progressives”—have rigged our elections since the days of John F. Kennedy.  They have encouraged riots in our streets by the thugs, slugs, hoods and mongrels of “Black Lives Matter,” Antifa and other far-Left groups, which have killed or hurt innocent Americans including our police; and destroyed black and other businesses.  Now, they are rioting again and trying to subvert decisions of the U.S. Supreme Court.[4]

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/   He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service).  Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See, e.g., https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/18402141/vladimir-putin-parkinsons-paranoia-traitors-insane/ (“Vladimir Putin is suffering from early stage Dementia & his paranoia is driving him insane, says former KGB agent”) and https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/russian-officers-shocked-putins-wild-26850180 (“Russian officers in dismay at Putin’s orders which leave 400 soldiers dead a day”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10781397/Russian-soldiers-raping-Ukrainian-men-boys-women-says-war-crimes-investigator.html (“Russian soldiers are raping Ukrainian men and boys as well as women, says UN war crimes investigator”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10781737/Putins-Holodomor-Russia-steals-400-000-tonnes-grain-occupied-Ukraine.html (“‘Putin’s Holodomor’: Russia steals 400,000 tonnes of grain from occupied Ukraine sparking fears of a devastating food crisis in the country in chilling echo of Stalin’s famine”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10782185/Ukraine-war-Communications-lost-Mariupol-defenders.html (“Moment Russia uses ‘thermobaric warheads’ to devastate Azovstal plant: Communications are lost with heroic last defenders of Mariupol a day after Russian troops began storming the steel works”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10783207/Ukraine-war-Russian-T-90M-main-battle-tank-destroyed.html (“Moment £4m next-generation Russian super-tank with reinforced steel and special automatic defence system is blown up by Ukrainian army just days after making its battlefield debut”) and https://www.the-sun.com/news/5268666/putin-practises-nuclear-missile-strikes-nato/ (“Putin practises NUCLEAR missile strikes and chemical attack in chilling war games on Nato border”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10786445/Ukraine-war-Russians-kicked-Azovstal-steel-works.html (“Russians ‘KICKED OUT’ of Azovstal – as defenders are ‘dying in agony'”); see also https://www.dickmorris.com/an-endgame-exit-strategy-for-putin/ (“Dick Morris: An Endgame Exit Strategy For Putin?”) and https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/02/world/europe/russia-invasion-ukraine-elections.html (“A U.S. Diplomat says Russia is planning to annex parts of Ukraine with ‘sham’ elections”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10784941/US-intelligence-helped-Ukraine-kill-multiple-Russian-generals-Putins-troops-invaded.html (“US intelligence ‘has helped Ukraine kill multiple Russian generals’ since Putin’s troops invaded”)

[3]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/04/30/russia-must-not-be-crippled-but-destroyed-like-the-soviet-union-before-it/ (“Russia Must Not Be Crippled, But Destroyed Like The Soviet Union Before It”)

[4]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/10/04/john-f-kennedy-the-most-despicable-president-in-american-history/ (“John F. Kennedy: The Most Despicable President In American History”) (see also the extensive footnotes beneath the article) and https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-law-enforcement-prepares-for-potential-violence-unrest-after-roe-decision-204137717.html (“Law enforcement prepares for potential post-Roe unrest”) and https://www.westernjournal.com/justice-roberts-goes-nuclear-activates-police-force-answerable-court/ (“Chief Justice Roberts Goes Nuclear, Activates Police Force Answerable Only to the Court Itself”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10785709/Fence-SCOTUS-Justices-cancels-events-police-brace-violence-Roe-leak.html (“Huge fence around SCOTUS and Justices cancels events over Roe leak”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10787407/Roberts-calls-leak-absolutely-appalling-slams-one-bad-apple-tried-sway-Roe-decision.html (“Roberts calls Supreme Court Roe leak ‘absolutely appalling'”)





America Is Led By A Visibly Incompetent Blunderer, Whose Incautious Public Blusterings Can Be Taken No More Seriously Than The Rantings Of A Child

8 04 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

The title of this article are the words of Wilfred McClay, a professor of history at Hillsdale College, which are worth reading and reflecting on:

Forty-four days into the Russian invasion of Ukraine, evidence continues to accumulate of Russian brutalities and hideous atrocities inflicted upon the people of that long-suffering land.

The mass graves and corpses littering the streets in the town of Bucha tell a horrifying tale of wanton and indiscriminate murder, and many world leaders — including President Joe Biden — are labeling the Russian actions war crimes.

There have been thousands of innocent victims—5,000 alone in the city of Mariupol—and their blood cries out from the ground.

Yet it is far from clear what we in the United States can or should do.

We can join other countries in imposing economic sanctions on Russia.

We can increase the supply of weapons to Ukraine, including high-tech arms, amid concerns that Russia is about to launch a large offensive in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region.

We can continue to dial up the volume of our moral indignation, our condemnation of Vladimir Putin, our treatment of the Russian nation as an international pariah, most recently by suspending Russia from the United Nations’ Human Rights Council.

But it seems unlikely that such actions will accomplish much, even as our national leaders repeat their empty vow to do ‘everything we can’ for the Ukraine.

‘We want to see this come to an end as quickly as possible,’ Secretary of State Anthony Blinken told NBC News’ Andrea Mitchell on April 6. ‘And that’s exactly why we’re making sure we’re doing everything we can to support Ukraine…’

Of course, America is not doing ‘everything we can’.

We have all but ruled out the type of assistance requested by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, such as a no-fly zone over his desperate country.

President Joe Biden has pledged that American troops will not directly engage with Russian forces.

So, what explains this glaring self-delusion?

And don’t our traditions demand more of us?

Americans are a compassionate people, we say, and surely we cannot stand idly by while such barbarity is unleashed and allowed free reign.

We have a proud heritage, it will be said, of coming to the aid of the suffering people of the world, the homeless and the tempest-tossed.

Moreover, the Ukrainian effort to resist the Russians is a just and valiant one, consonant with the longstanding American commitment to self-rule and national self-determination.

Can our consciences permit us to look away?

Our traditions and our history do not speak with one clear voice, though.

There has always been a tension in the American mind, between assuming a posture of restraint and aloofness from the world, and one of zealous engagement and intervention.

In 1831 John Quincy Adams, reacting to calls for American intervention in Greece, declared that ‘America goes not abroad in search of monsters to destroy.’

That memorable statement, so reflective of the country’s heritage of republican government, supplied much of the basis for American foreign policy during the nineteenth century.

But with the Spanish-American War of 1898, which was (not coincidentally) sparked by Spanish atrocities committed against the people of Cuba, this changed.

By the twentieth century Adams’s restraint had been replaced by the crusading zeal of leaders like Theodore Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson, who sought to cover the earth with American influence, and go in search of monsters to destroy.

It would be a terrible injustice to deny the beneficence of American influence over the course of the twentieth century.

Neither of the two great world wars could have been brought to a close with an Allied victory without the strength and sacrifice supplied by the United States.

The world has good reason to be grateful.

But we have not been consistent in dealing with cases of atrocity.

A few examples.

There will always be a pall hanging over Franklin Roosevelt’s administration for its failure to do more to forestall the murder of European Jews in Germany’s death camps.

True, we took part NATO’s bombing campaign against Yugoslavia in 1999, which was prompted by Yugoslavia’s ethnic cleansing of Albanians.

But in the Biafran genocide of the late 1960s in which some 2 million were killed; there was little response from the US government, though much response from non-governmental organizations.

And there was a similar lack of response to the Rwandan massacres of 1994, in which nearly 700,000 died.

But that is not all.

If we are to soberly contemplate the limits on our actions in Ukraine, a terrible reality must be faced.

We have in recent years accumulated a dismal record of failing to honor the pledges we have made to the people we propose to aid, and as a result, we have contributed to the immense suffering of those who had relied upon us.

That was one of the indelible legacies of the war in Vietnam.

And more recently, with the nation’s colossally damaging bug-out from Afghanistan last year, and now with the situation in Ukraine, that record has become even more toxic.

As satisfying as it is for us to moralize about Putin’s being an evil and demonic man, we seem to have forgotten that in the early 1990s, Ukraine’s leadership was induced to disarm the country and abandon its stockpile of nuclear weapons, in exchange for signed guarantees from the international community ensuring its future security.

What are those guarantees worth now?

Would any of today’s carnage be happening if Ukraine had kept those weapons?

What lesson will other nations draw from this betrayal?

What is our moral responsibility for having created this state of affairs?

No, the unfortunate truth is that the credibility of our country and governing class stands at a low point.

The biggest obstacle to our taking effective action in the world is ourselves—our largely self-imposed economic, military, and moral weakness.

In today’s political climate, with America’s international leadership ebbing fast, and its presidential office occupied by a visibly incompetent blunderer, whose incautious public blusterings can be taken no more seriously than the rantings of a child, the United States is simply in no shape to take on the long and complex work of international diplomacy.

Based on our recent track record, there is no reason to believe we have the capacity, as a nation, to sustain a serious effort in that direction.

Instead, since at least the 2000 election, we have saved most of our energies for vicious and unproductive domestic politics, including an astonishingly deceitful effort, undertaken with the support of high-ranking officials in our intelligence agencies, to convince the American people that their president had been elected by means of ‘collusion’ with the Russians.

Now that this effort has collapsed, though with no one being punished for it, the American people are confused and distrustful of their own rulers.

They are properly horrified by Putin’s actions in Ukraine. But they are not willing to take serious and sacrificial actions on the orders of a ruling elite that they do not trust.

Who can blame them?

We have been living in a dream world, thinking that our conspicuous internal divisions, exposed to all the world, would never be used against us, someday and somehow, to maximum effect.

We are paying the price for having been, for too long, an unserious nation governed by unserious people.

We can come back from this, as we have come back from folly and decadence before. But there is not much more time to waste.

And of course, Putin is far from being the most formidable of our adversaries.

Let us hope that the current crisis in Ukraine will begin to wake us up.[2]

Professor McClay’s words are sobering, and may prove to be prophetic.  We have adversaries globally who want to destroy us and our allies, and reinstitute the “dark ages.”  Two of them are Vladimir Putin and China’s Xi Jinping who launched the Coronavirus pandemic that has killed so many globally.

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10700633/Americas-pledge-Ukraine-delusional-historian-WILFRED-MCCLAY.html (“Americans are torn between the desire to save Ukraine and the sad reality that we won’t. Years of division and a visibly incompetent blunderer as president have made our nation weak, writes historian WILFRED MCCLAY”); see also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/27/the-search-for-sanity-amidst-so-much-insanity/ (“The Search For Sanity Amidst So Much Insanity”)





Good Versus Pure Evil—Bloody Images From Ukraine

3 04 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

•  Vladimir Putin’s thugs booby-trapping Ukrainian corpses that are lying in the streets, which their loved ones cannot retrieve, out of fear that they too will die.[2]

•  Women being raped, which the Russians have done again and again, as their Soviet ancestors did when they entered Berlin in World War II—an estimated 2 million victims, the largest mass rape in history.[3]

•  Ukrainian babies being killed, or joining others as orphans.

•  Putin is a KGB-trained killer, who is every bit as ruthless as Adolf Hitler or Joseph Stalin.[4]

This is the reality of Putin’s attempted conquest of Ukraine.  Yet, Joe Biden and the West levy sanctions that are inadequate, and arm the courageous Ukrainians with weapons that are not enough to win.  They view the war “through rose-colored glasses,” according to one female Ukrainian politician.  They seek to mollify growing public opinion that Putin’s forces must be defeated, humiliated and sent back to Mother Russia in body bags.

When I left the United States Senate, I concluded that the Democrats were “evil” but smart, while the Republicans were “Neanderthals” and dumb.[5]  Aside from Biden being brain dead, or cascading toward that end, and Kamala Harris being a pathetic, embarrassing, tragic joke[6], their Administration’s policies keep getting worse with each passing day.  Their goal seems to be to destroy the United States; and their collective policies are moving our great nation rapidly in that direction.

The question has been asked already whether we will have a country when they leave office in January of 2025.[7]  It was not asked rhetorically or in jest, but in all seriousness.  Like it or not, we are in a global war with Putin and Russia, and Xi Jinping and China; and they seem to be winning.  It doesn’t have to be that way.  The Ukrainians must be given anything and everything that they need to win. In a very real sense, they are our surrogates, and the surrogates of NATO countries—and of the Taiwanese, who may be next.

It has been reported that public opinion in Russia favors Putin by more than 80 percent—what has been described as his “skyrocketing popularity.”[8]  He is winning the public relations war.  Our ally India is trading with him. Israel has curried favor with him for years, yet it depends on American aid.  Biden has effectively shut down our oil and gas spigots, which drives up domestic prices.  Inflation is rampant. Our southern border is wide open.  And chaos reigns here at home, after China’s Coronavirus pandemic has devastated us . . . while the Democrats and corporate Leftists like those at Disney focus on the rights of transsexuals and other freaks of nature.[9]

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

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[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10678637/Russian-forces-pullout-slow-noticeable-northern-Ukraine-President-Zelensky-says.html (“Volodymyr Zelensky condemns Russia for booby-trapping corpses and abandoned homes as they retreat from the north – a day after scores of executed civilians were found on ‘highway of death'”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10679301/Pictured-Columns-Russian-vehicles-line-highways-Kyiv-tank-graveyards.html (“Ukraine takes back ‘whole Kyiv region’: Columns of Russian armoured vehicles line the highways in ‘tank graveyards’ as advancing Ukrainians find civilians shot with their hands tied behind their backs”); see also https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10679093/There-no-outcome-victory-Defiant-Zelensky-says-Ukraine-NEVER-concede.html (“‘There is no outcome other than victory!’ Defiant Zelensky says that Ukraine will NEVER concede Crimea or any other territory and his people will not accept anything less than the defeat of invading Russia”)

[3]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/06/the-silent-voices-of-stalin%E2%80%99s-soviet-holocaust-and-mao%E2%80%99s-chinese-holocaust/ (“The Silent Voices Of Stalin’s Soviet Holocaust And Mao’s Chinese Holocaust”)

[4]  See, e.g., https://www.westernjournal.com/putin-signs-order-gas-cut-off-unless-world-leaders-meet-demand/ (“Putin Signs the Order: Gas to Be Cut Off Unless World Leaders Meet His Demand”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/09/russias-putin-is-a-killer/ (“Russia’s Putin Is A Killer”)

[5]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/27/the-search-for-sanity-amidst-so-much-insanity/ (“The Search For Sanity Amidst So Much Insanity”)

The Democrats have been smart enough to rig elections, going back to the election of John F. Kennedy; and the Republicans have been too stupid to stop them.  And yes, lots of us began as Democrats, but will never vote for another one.

[6]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/08/biden-is-brain-dead/ (“Biden Is Brain Dead”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/11/brain-dead-joe-biden-has-picked-willie-browns-ho-as-our-next-president/ (“Brain Dead Joe Biden Has Picked Willie Brown’s Ho As Our Next President”)

[7]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/27/the-search-for-sanity-amidst-so-much-insanity/ (“The Search For Sanity Amidst So Much Insanity”)

[8]  See, e.g., https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/01/world/europe/russia-putin-support-ukraine.html (“Shaken at First, Many Russians Now Rally Behind Putin’s Invasion”)

[9]  See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10679783/Families-speak-having-swear-Disney-swing-left-woke-policies.html (“Disney boycott: Furious families are swearing off the entertainment conglomerate as they accuse it of ‘surrendering to the woke mob’ and ‘indoctrinating their children'”)





RIP Joe Biden And Vladimir Putin

20 03 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

Former Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Newt Gingrich is one of the most articulate historians and voices of reason in the world.  In a recent podcast dealing with the tragic events in Ukraine, Russia’s KGB-trained killer Vladimir Putin, China’s Xi Jinping, and our collective future as citizens of the world, he made the following points—which are paraphrased here:

•  It is extremely difficult for democracies to confront and defeat evil.  What Vladimir Putin is doing to the people of Ukraine can be characterized as evil, and the Western allied nations must come together to stop him.

•  Putin knows no bounds, and the “civilized world” hasn’t had the courage to confront him and establish bounds.

•  What the Ukrainians are getting from us are “psychological moments of sympathy,” which is not what they want at all, or need.

•  The United States has become pathetically incompetent.  The Biden White House is totally incompetent. The Defense Department is totally clueless.  Never send Kamala Harris anywhere.  She’s like sending a tiny little bunny rabbit to take on a grizzly bear, Putin.

•  If we allow evil to grow, and become acceptable—we’re seeing it at home with crime—we will witness grave dangers.

•  Xi Jinping is, in the long run, a much greater danger than Putin; and one that we’re going to have to deal with.

•  Evil is defeated by superior force.

•  Putin has created a Ukrainian nationalism.

•  The only thing dictators respect is strength.  If we don’t have the courage to stand up to evil, where does it stop?  The West should have eliminated Hitler early on.  The same is true of Putin now.

•  What is concerning is that the Ukrainians may decide that the world will not help them, and they have no choice other than to accept a compromise, in which case Putin will have won and will survive; and we will live in a much more dangerous world.[2]

Gingrich’s conclusions are sobering, because potentially they affect each of our lives.  Having dealt with the effects of China’s deadly Coronavirus pandemic, which are still with us[3], we are faced with the prospects of a global conflagration, or World War III.[4]

Andrew Neil has written a fine article in the UK’s Daily Mail about the tragedy of Vladimir Putin, which is worth reading. In it, he states:

Whatever the military outcome, Putin faces one of only two prospects: his demise, possibly bloody; or a future as an isolated global pariah with whom almost nobody will deal.

. . .

Putin’s mission was to re-establish Russia as a Great Power.  It is one of the ironies of his Ukrainian escapade that not only does its failure mark the beginning of the end for him, it signifies the relegation of Russia from the ranks of the world’s superpowers for at least a decade, if not a generation.”[5]

In the final analysis, it is clear that the Biden-Harris administration is incapable of addressing domestic and world challenges.  And the only question is whether America can survive and recover from their disastrous, traitorous time in office.

Joe Biden is brain dead or very close to it, and a global laughingstock; and Kamala Harris is a total disgrace.[6]  Will his death elevate her into the Oval Office?  Perish the thought.

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

_____

[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See https://www.gingrich360.com/2022/03/18/newts-world-episode-386-putin-verses-the-west/ (“Newt’s World – Episode 386: Putin verses the West – Gingrich 360”)

Query whether Putin’s death soon is the only event that might change the course of these events and predictions?

[3]  See Timothy D. Naegele, “The Coronavirus and Similar Global Issues: How to Address Them,” 137 BANKING L. J. 285 (June 2020) (see also https://naegeleblog.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/timothy-d.-naegele.pdf)

[4]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/01/world-war-iii-has-begun/ (“World War III Has Begun”)

[5]  See https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-10628889/ANDREW-NEIL-Turn-Russia-Great-Power-shambolic-invasion-opposite.html (“Turn Russia back into a Great Power? This shambolic invasion has done exactly the opposite”)

[6]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/08/biden-is-brain-dead/ (“Biden Is Brain Dead”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2020/08/11/brain-dead-joe-biden-has-picked-willie-browns-ho-as-our-next-president/ (“Brain Dead Joe Biden Has Picked Willie Brown’s Ho As Our Next President”)





We Are All Ukrainians

10 03 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

The story of the Ukrainians’ courageous actions against the savage onslaught of psychopathic megalomaniac KGB-trained killer Vladimir Putin’s Russians is the gist and essence of world history.  It is as though Putin’s life of nonstop butchery happened here and now alone; and he was like a trapped beast that was encircled or surrounded, and his death was necessary and inevitable.  Good versus evil.  Order versus chaos.  Courage versus cowardice.  God versus the Devil incarnate.  They have all arrived at this moment in time, and the world is riveted.  Everything else pales by comparison.[2]

Yes, those of us who are alive have survived China’s Coronavirus pandemic thus far, which has killed or hurt so many physically, psychologically and economically.[3]  Just when it seemed that a light was shining at the end of that dark tunnel, Putin attacked Ukraine and began killing its people and threatening mankind: men, women and children, of all ages and locales.  The Devil had been unleashed; and the Dark Ages seemed to descend on the world again, compliments of one man who was threatening a nuclear holocaust.

To many citizens of the world, it was like a nightmare that continues after one awakens.  A dark and ominous cloud, or a brutal storm that does not pass.  A tornado that keeps coming and coming, and will not go away.  Destroying houses and tall buildings, and creating massive throngs of refugees, and corpses where seconds before there was a human being with hope.  Women whose grief is preyed upon by those who would enslave them, and force them into prostitution.  The wholesale degradation of the human spirit. Hell hath arrived with a mind-numbing thud.

At the very least, Putin will be remembered as one of history’s greatest killers, along with Adolf Hitler and Joseph Stalin who killed millions.[4]  It is as though he is in the Roman Colosseum watching his gladiators fight to the death, for his sheer enjoyment and amusement, utter delight and pleasure.  Somehow he was transported back in time to feast on the blood of corpses, honestly believing that he would be adored by the multitudes whom he was entertaining.  Yet he will die; that is a given.[5]  And the Ukrainians will have triumphed.[6]  That will be their legacies.

Throw in the insatiable appetite of China’s Xi Jinping for global domination, and the possible plight of the Taiwanese, and we are faced with the possibility of World War III.[7]  Granted, it may be aborted if Putin dies, and dies a horrible death, sending a chilling message to the equally-brutal Chinese leader. Does he want to end up like Putin, a pariah whose life is over, and whose cruelty is ended because he defied an omniscient loving God?[8]

 

_____

© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

_____

[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2] See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10593177/Ukraine-war-Russia-reopens-evacuation-routes-besieged-cities.html (“Putin sinks to a new low: Maternity hospital in Mariupol is bombed”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10571561/First-Ukrainian-city-falls-Mayor-Kherson-tells-people-follow-orders-Russian-soldiers.html (“Russian forces seize control of Kherson: Mayor tells residents to obey Putin’s soldiers and begs troops not to shoot civilians as huge explosion hits Kyiv and Russia’s warships prepare amphibious assault on Odessa one week after start of the invasion”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10573065/Ukraine-war-Kyiv-convoy-hardly-moved-three-days.html (“More children’s blood on Putin’s hands: Father weeps over the body of his son killed by Russian shelling as Zelensky says ‘heroic’ resistance will stop Kyiv from falling and Ukrainian minister accuses Vladimir of war crimes”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10594341/President-Zelensky-survived-DOZEN-assassination-attempts-close-adviser-claims.html (“President Zelensky has survived ‘more than a DOZEN assassination attempts’ with various killers ‘liquidated’, one of his close advisers claims”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10592485/Tatyana-Perebeynos-cut-alongside-two-children-Russian-ceasefire-shelling-Irpin.html (“Tatyana Perebeynos cut down alongside her two children during Russian ‘ceasefire’ shelling of Irpin”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10576675/Polinas-little-brother-Semyon-five-loses-fight-life.html (“Polina’s little brother loses fight for life: Five-year-old Seymon dies two days after parents and sibling were killed in hail of Russian bullets while they fled Kyiv… as critically-ill sister Sofia, 13, has no idea entire family are now dead”) and https://www.the-sun.com/news/4822326/russian-troops-accused-of-raping-numerous-women/ (“Russian troops accused of raping ‘numerous’ women as they rampage through Ukrainian cities”) and https://kyivindependent.com/national/russian-soldiers-murder-volunteers-helping-starving-animals-near-kyiv/ (“Russian soldiers murder volunteers helping starving animals near Kyiv”) and https://www.thedailybeast.com/ukraine-forecast-of-freezing-temperatures-endangers-russian-troops-and-complicates-ukrainians-escape (“Ukraine Forecast of Freezing Temperatures Endangers Russian Troops and Complicates Ukrainians’ Escape”)

[3]  See Timothy D. Naegele, “The Coronavirus and Similar Global Issues: How to Address Them,” 137 BANKING L. J. 285 (June 2020) (see also https://naegeleblog.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/timothy-d.-naegele.pdf)

[4]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/06/the-silent-voices-of-stalin%e2%80%99s-soviet-holocaust-and-mao%e2%80%99s-chinese-holocaust/ (“The Silent Voices Of Stalin’s Soviet Holocaust And Mao’s Chinese Holocaust”)

[5]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/02/25/sever-the-head-of-a-snake-and-it-dies/ (“Sever The Head Of A Snake, And It Dies”)

[6]  See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10571663/Pro-Russian-mayor-city-eastern-Ukraine-shot-dead-kidnapped-home.html (“Pro-Russian mayor of city in eastern Ukraine who welcomed Putin’s invasion is found shot dead in the street after being kidnapped from his home”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10578783/Two-Russian-commanders-killed-frontline-Ukraine-Western-official-claims.html (“Two more Russian commanders are killed on the frontline in Ukraine after a top general was shot dead by snipers, Western official claims”)

[7]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/01/world-war-iii-has-begun/ (“World War III Has Begun”)

[8]  See, e.g.https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/05/12/what-and-where-is-god/ (“What And Where Is God?”) and https://www.facebook.com/groups/DailyWordfromUnity/permalink/698329984513934/?app=fbl

Rabbi Harold S. Kushner wrote a book many years ago entitled, “When Bad Things Happen to Good People.”  The author’s distillation of what he said is that more often than not the bad things that happen are a result of man’s inhumanity to his fellow man.  But where was God in the midst of the most horrific events imaginable, such as the coronavirus, wars and the like?  Why didn’t God prevent them?  God gave men and women free will, for good or evil.  God was present, providing meaning to events that seem so random and unfathomable and hurtful at the time, and giving us the courage to go on, as Rabbi Kushner has written.

See Timothy D. Naegele, “The Coronavirus and Similar Global Issues: How to Address Them,” 137 BANKING L. J. 285 (June 2020) (see also https://naegeleblog.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/timothy-d.-naegele.pdf), p. 289, n.18.

 





The Heroes Of Ukraine May Be Dead Soon

4 03 2022

  By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

If there is beauty in this world, it is being destroyed. If there is hope in the world, it too is being snuffed out. China’s Coronavirus pandemic has killed millions, and destroyed the hopes and dreams of many who remain behind. Ukraine may be next, with Taiwan after that.

Tragically, Ukraine may fall to the psychopathic megalomaniac Vladimir Putin.  And its heroes—including all who have stayed and fought for their freedoms, such as young mothers—may be slaughtered.[2] Putin is a savage killer, with an unbroken track record that stretches back to his days as a KGB operative in the DDR or East Germany, before the Soviet Union collapsed.

The West is full of weak, woke, feckless, cowardly and sometimes traitorous “leaders,” who are no match for an unbridled killer like Putin.  He doesn’t need to seek anyone’s consent, much less run for reelection in any Western “democratic” sense.  No dictators ever do.  Down through the ages—including the Caesars, Hitler and Stalin—they have unhesitantly and ruthlessly butchered their challengers and opposition.[3]

Presumably Putin thinks of himself in these terms, not as some Westernized “democrat.”  To be facing a weak, corrupt, unprincipled and “mentally-challenged” American President like Joe Biden must be music to his ears.  And to know that the Biden-Harris presidency does not end until January of 2025 is a godsend to him—and to his “senior partner” China’s Xi Jinping, who fancies himself taking over Taiwan at the very least.

How can this gloom-and-doom, pessimistic scenario be changed?  By killing Putin now, and everyone who supports him[4]—which should have begun when the first Ukrainian was killed or hurt, and before he was able to sow so much chaos in the country and globally.  Are we witnessing the fall of civilization, World War III and the reemergence of dark ages?  Lots of Americans and others are asking: where is God in the midst of so much suffering?[5]

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© 2022, Timothy D. Naegele

_____

[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass).  See, e.g., Timothy D. Naegele Resume-21-8-6  and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/accomplishments/  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army during the Vietnam War, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/articles/ and https://naegeleknol.wordpress.com/articles/), and studied photography with Ansel Adams.  He can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2] See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10571561/First-Ukrainian-city-falls-Mayor-Kherson-tells-people-follow-orders-Russian-soldiers.html (“Russian forces seize control of Kherson: Mayor tells residents to obey Putin’s soldiers and begs troops not to shoot civilians as huge explosion hits Kyiv and Russia’s warships prepare amphibious assault on Odessa one week after start of the invasion”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10573065/Ukraine-war-Kyiv-convoy-hardly-moved-three-days.html (“More children’s blood on Putin’s hands: Father weeps over the body of his son killed by Russian shelling as Zelensky says ‘heroic’ resistance will stop Kyiv from falling and Ukrainian minister accuses Vladimir of war crimes”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10576255/Ukraine-President-Volodymyr-Zelensky-survives-three-assassination-attempts-past-week.html (“Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has ‘survived three assassination attempts in the past week’: Plots were foiled by double agents within the FSB”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10576675/Polinas-little-brother-Semyon-five-loses-fight-life.html (“Polina’s little brother loses fight for life: Five-year-old Seymon dies two days after parents and sibling were killed in hail of Russian bullets while they fled Kyiv… as critically-ill sister Sofia, 13, has no idea entire family are now dead”) and https://www.the-sun.com/news/4822326/russian-troops-accused-of-raping-numerous-women/ (“Russian troops accused of raping ‘numerous’ women as they rampage through Ukrainian cities”)

In the first week of the onslaught, it was estimated that one million refugees left the country.

At the outset of this article, it must be emphasized—and stated clearly and unequivocally—that the author wants the Ukrainian people to be triumphant, and survive.  He wishes fervently that none of them would have experienced a single tragedy, and that dictators like Putin were never born; and that evil is eradicated from the Earth, or does not exist in the first place.

[3]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/02/06/the-silent-voices-of-stalin%e2%80%99s-soviet-holocaust-and-mao%e2%80%99s-chinese-holocaust/ (“The Silent Voices Of Stalin’s Soviet Holocaust And Mao’s Chinese Holocaust”)

[4]  See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10571663/Pro-Russian-mayor-city-eastern-Ukraine-shot-dead-kidnapped-home.html (“Pro-Russian mayor of city in eastern Ukraine who welcomed Putin’s invasion is found shot dead in the street after being kidnapped from his home”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10578783/Two-Russian-commanders-killed-frontline-Ukraine-Western-official-claims.html (“Two more Russian commanders are killed on the frontline in Ukraine after a top general was shot dead by snipers, Western official claims”)

[5]  See, e.g., https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2022/03/01/world-war-iii-has-begun/ (“World War III Has Begun”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/05/12/what-and-where-is-god/ (“What And Where Is God?”) and https://www.facebook.com/groups/DailyWordfromUnity/permalink/698329984513934/?app=fbl

Rabbi Harold S. Kushner wrote a book many years ago entitled, “When Bad Things Happen to Good People.”  The author’s distillation of what he said is that more often than not the bad things that happen are a result of man’s inhumanity to his fellow man.  But where was God in the midst of the most horrific events imaginable, such as the coronavirus, wars and the like?  Why didn’t God prevent them?  God gave men and women free will, for good or evil.  God was present, providing meaning to events that seem so random and unfathomable and hurtful at the time, and giving us the courage to go on, as Rabbi Kushner has written.

See Timothy D. Naegele, “The Coronavirus and Similar Global Issues: How to Address Them,” 137 BANKING L. J. 285 (June 2020) (see also https://naegeleblog.files.wordpress.com/2020/05/timothy-d.-naegele.pdf), p. 289, n.18.





Will The Trump Presidency Conclude In 2025?

10 07 2019

 By Timothy D. Naegele[1]

There are reasons to believe that Donald Trump will be reelected in 2020, and serve another four-year term in office; and that his presidency will end in January of 2025.  If so, America will be changed forever.

Pat Buchanan—an adviser to Presidents Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and Gerald Ford, and a former GOP presidential aspirant himself—has written an article entitled “Are Democrats Ceding the Center to Trump?”:

Since the Democratic debates in June, the tide seems to have receded for the party and its presidential hopefuls.

In new polls, only Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump comfortably.

The other top-tier candidates — Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg — are running even with Trump, a measurable drop. A Washington Post-ABC poll just found Trump at 47% approval, a new high for his presidency.

Apparently, the more the nation sees of the alternatives to Trump the Democrats have on offer, the better The Donald looks. For Democrats, this is not good, not good at all.

For while Trump has run a daily gauntlet of dreadful media for two years, these Democrats have had only one debate and a few weeks of close coverage.

Between now and the New Hampshire primary, they will be going after one another and receiving a far more thorough vetting by a media in constant search of failings and flaws, especially of front-runners.

Traditionally, all candidates suffer attrition as the primaries come closer. For it is then that their lagging rivals become more desperate in their attacks and the media coverage becomes more intense.

Other problems have now arisen for the Democrats because of the issues that have come to the fore: race, radicalism and the border.

None looks like a winning Democratic issue in November 2020.

The race issue surfaced in the debate when Biden was called out by Harris for his professed friendships with segregationist senators like Herman Talmadge and James O. Eastland, and for Joe’s impassioned public resistance to the court-ordered bussing of black and white children for racial balance in the public schools of the 1970s.

Harris defended bussing as a necessary remedy to segregation and added that, as a “little girl,” she had been a beneficiary.

If your friends like Eastland had their way, said Harris, I would not be here in the Senate. For days, the issue dogged Biden, who, last weekend, apologized for any “hurt” he caused.

Biden seems to have recovered most of the ground lost from Harris’ attack. But that this racially charged issue threw him on the defensive for weeks assures it will be raised again by opponents to trip up the front-runner.

Another issue certain to come up in future debates, and in the South Carolina primary where 61% of the Democratic vote is African American, is reparations for slavery.

Several candidates have already endorsed a commission to study reparations, and Biden and every other candidate will have to take a stand.

Yet, recent polls show that Americans, by 2-1, are opposed to paying reparations for a system of slavery that was abolished 150 years ago.

Bottom line: If the 2020 campaign becomes a conversation about reparations for slavery and the bussing of white kids from the suburbs into inner-city schools to achieve greater integration, the Democrats will be in a world of hurt.

On border security, indispensable to Trump in 2016, Democrats in the debates came out for ending criminal detention of people invading our country and for providing free health care for migrants who successfully break into the USA.

Detesting ICE as they do, and supporting sanctuary cities, left-wing Democrats routinely describe the Border Patrol as neo-fascists who run “concentration camps” where migrant children are forced to drink toilet water. The Democrats are becoming an open borders party.

What is their solution to the hundreds of thousands of migrants who annually arrive at our borders? Foreign aid. They want to create a Marshall Plan for Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador so refugees will stay home rather than come to the USA for the health care Democrats will provide at taxpayer expense.

Among other ideas advocated by leading Democratic candidates:

Free college for all, cancellation of all student loan debt, Medicare for All, an end to private health insurance and the companies that provide it, the abolition of the Electoral College, expansion of the Supreme Court to 15 justices, the abolition of ICE, a phase-out all fossil fuels for a carbon neutral country, and repeal of all Trump tax cuts.

What is causing the moderate Democrats to adopt what they used to regard as radical positions? The party base, which votes in primaries and is further left than it has ever been.

Also pulling the party leftward is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and her sisters in Congress who receive extensive and indulgent media coverage and have a powerful following among millennials.

What the Democratic Party is risking today — and what many of its leaders recognize — is that it will be pulled so far outside the mainstream of American politics in the nomination battle, that its nominee will not be able to make it back close enough to the center to win.

If the Democratic Party, as its alternative to Trump, decides to run on this radical new agenda, America will punish that hubris with a second term for Trump.[2]

It is likely that the Biden candidacy will collapse for a myriad of reasons, not the least of which he is prone to gaffes and mistakes that are seemingly unforgivable.  He may be shown to be an utter buffoon, sooner rather than later; and the fact that his son Hunter has been embroiled in scandals, linked to his father, may only compound his problems.[3]

Bernie Sanders is authentic, albeit a true socialist not unlike Karl Marx; and his only viable chance of getting the Democratic Party’s nomination may have died in 2016, at the hands of Hillary Clinton and her thugs.  Did Sanders deserve to be the party’s nominee?  Probably so, but he was robbed of it then, as history will attest.

Kamala Harris’ political career began as former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown’s ho.  And having been nurtured while “working” on her back, this may forever define her credentials as a candidate for higher offices.  The fact that California’s Leftist voters let her “skate” speaks volumes about what has happened in this once-great and proud State.[4]

Elizabeth “Pocahontas” Warren, who lied repeatedly about her native-American heritage, is going nowhere fast.[5]  Like the remainder of the pygmies and societal misfits who are running for their party’s nomination, they are likely to join the growing ranks of ignominity.[6]  And yes, lots of us began as Democrats, but will never vote for one again.

Pat Buchanan is correct that race, radicalism and “the border” are likely to be in the minds of Americans as they approach and vote in next year’s elections.  Crime, abortions and a plethora of other issues will affect their decisions too, but Buchanan may be correct when he concluded:

What the Democratic Party is risking today — and what many of its leaders recognize — is that it will be pulled so far outside the mainstream of American politics in the nomination battle, that its nominee will not be able to make it back close enough to the center to win.

If the Democratic Party, as its alternative to Trump, decides to run on this radical new agenda, America will punish that hubris with a second term for Trump.[7]

The Left’s efforts to radicalize America must be stopped in their tracks.  Our borders must be closed tight, except to those who come here legally[8]. Sanctuary cities and other lawlessness must be eradicated.

Those who are in our great country illegally must be rooted out and deported summarily.  Violent groups like Antifa must be designated as terrorist groups, and dealt with harshly.  Eco-Nazis must be repudiated; and the hoax of man-made “global warming” must be exposed for what it is.[9]

Abortions must be treated as Infanticide, with criminal consequences ensuing for all involved.  Our Electoral College must be respected and adhered to, not cheapened or discarded.  All student loan debt must be paid back, not forgiven.

Radical judges who seek to legislate from the bench must be removed, and replaced with those who will follow the law, not discard it. Those who sought to destroy the candidacy or the presidency of Donald Trump must be prosecuted and imprisoned for treason, at the very least.

And the list goes on and on.

. . .

Lastly, will Bill Clinton’s flights on Jeffrey Epstein’s “Lolita Express” jet—allegedly 26 times, involving the sexual trafficking of young girls—affect the Democratic Party’s election chances?[10]


© 2019, Timothy D. Naegele


[1]  Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass). He and his firm, Timothy D. Naegele & Associates, specialize in Banking and Financial Institutions Law, Internet Law, Litigation and other matters (see www.naegele.com and Timothy D. Naegele Resume-19-4-29). He has an undergraduate degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University. He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal (see, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commendation_Medal#Joint_Service). Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who’s Who in America, Who’s Who in American Law, and Who’s Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years (see, e.g., www.naegele.com/whats_new.html#articles), and can be contacted directly at tdnaegele.associates@gmail.com

[2]  See https://buchanan.org/blog/are-democrats-ceding-the-center-to-trump-137283; see also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-17600 (“Abortions And Gay Rights Are Not American Values”)

[3]  See, e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hunter_Biden (“Hunter Biden”)

[4]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/07/29/it-is-time-for-trump-supporters-to-fight-back/#comment-15821 (“Willie Brown’s Mistress Runs For America’s Presidency”); see also https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/02/06/the-state-of-our-union-2019/#comment-17756 (“Texafornia: America’s Future?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/07/01/the-death-of-new-york-city/#comment-14019 (“THE DEATH OF SAN FRANCISCO?“) and https://www.sfgate.com/expensive-san-francisco/article/move-out-of-bay-area-california-where-to-go-cost-13614119.php (“53 percent of Californians want to leave the state, according to new survey”)

[5]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/05/16/americas-newest-civil-war-2017-and-beyond/#comment-12509 (“LYING POCAHONTAS REFUSES TO BE TESTED“)

[6]  The only exception might be Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, who has an impressive background, but she has many years ahead of her; and she can be viewed as a far-Left Democrat too.

See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/04/29/the-democrats-are-evil-but-smart-while-the-republicans-are-neanderthals-and-dumb/#comment-17837 (“Tulsi”)

[7]  As I stated previously:

Liberalism and its counterparts in the far-Left beliefs and actions of the United States are an equal threat to America’s future [vis-à-vis our external enemies such as Russia’s dictator-for-life Vladimir Putin].  Whether it be the violent Antifa groups, who seek to silence dissent, or their counterparts in the Democratic Party, today’s radical Leftists are threats to America’s democracy, to its history and heritage, and to all that most Americans hold dear and cherish.

. . .

Perhaps the most vivid example of Liberalism in America today can be summed up in the following facts:

Roe v. Wade unleashed a holocaust of epic proportions, which ranks with the greatest holocausts in human history—including the Nazi Holocaust, Stalin’s Soviet Holocaust and Mao’s Chinese Holocaust.

“Indeed, more human beings have been killed as a result of abortions—since the U.S. Supreme Court handed down its decision in 1973—than in each of the other three holocausts.”

See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2019/07/02/is-putin-right/ (“Is Putin Right?”); see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antifa_(United_States) (“Antifa (United States)”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2009/12/05/is-barack-obama-a-racist/ (“Is Barack Obama A Racist?”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2018/05/24/should-barack-obama-be-executed-for-treason/ (“Should Barack Obama Be Executed For Treason?”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/10/20/the-real-russian-conspiracy-barack-obama-the-clintons-and-the-sale-of-americas-uranium-to-russias-killer-putin/ (“The Real Russian Conspiracy: Barack Obama, The Clintons, And The Sale Of America’s Uranium To Russia’s Killer Putin”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2014/01/06/ariel-sharon-is-missed/#comment-12626 (“DEMOCRATS ARE ANTI-SEMITES”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2017/05/16/americas-newest-civil-war-2017-and-beyond/ (“America’s Newest Civil War: 2017 And Beyond”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-17243 (“Finally, More Abortion Bans Are Coming“) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2012/12/20/abortions-and-autos-kill-more-in-america-than-guns/#comment-3298 (“55 Million American Babies Killed Since Roe v. Wade“)

[8]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/07/30/illegal-immigration-the-solution-is-simple/ (“Illegal Immigration: The Solution Is Simple”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article)

[9]  See https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2015/11/30/a-34-trillion-swindle-the-shame-of-global-warming/ (“A $34 Trillion Swindle: The Shame Of Global Warming”) (see also the extensive comments beneath the article)

[10]  See, e.g., https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7226525/Bill-Clinton-insists-no-idea-Jeffrey-Epsteins-terrible-crimes.html (“Bill Clinton insists he had no idea about Jeffrey Epstein’s ‘terrible crimes'”) and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7229027/President-Trump-banned-Jeffery-Epstein-Mar-Lago-sexually-assaulted-underage-girl.html (“President Trump banned Jeffery Epstein from Mar-a-Lago after he sexually assaulted an underage girl”) and https://naegeleblog.wordpress.com/2010/09/24/washington-is-sick-and-the-american-people-know-it/#comment-7185 (“Clinton Fatigue”)








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